Vale's
iron ore fines production totalled 59.6 Mt, therefore below the production
guidance of 63-68 Mt for 1Q20. The
main causes for that result are: (i) losses of 4.5 Mt in the Northern
System from (a) unscheduled maintenance of the long distance conveyor belt
at S11D; (b) concentrated, stronger-than-usual weather-related conditions,
especially in March; (c) operational restrictions at the Northern Range
connected to the postponement of the start-up of the new Morro 1 mining
section; (ii) losses of 1.8 Mt from lower third-party purchases, due to
reduced availability caused by the heavy rains in the southeast of Brazil;
and (iii) losses of 2.1 Mt from a number of operational issues in the
Southeastern System, mainly in the Itabira Complex.
Sales volumes of iron ore fines and pellets
reached 59.0 Mt, in line with production in 1Q20.
The share of premium products totaled 87% in 1Q20. Iron ore fines and
pellets quality premiums reached US$ 5.2/t in 1Q20, US$ 1.2/t lower than
4Q19, mainly due to absence of dividends received and lower pellet
premiums, which were partially offset by higher iron ore fines premiums.
Vale revised its guidance for iron ore fines
production in 2020 to 310-330 Mt from 340- 355 Mt and its pellet
production guidance to 35-40 Mt from 44 Mt. The main reasons for this revision are: (i)
the 1Q20 production miss;(ii) delays in the resumption of halted
operations, such as Timbopeba and Fabrica, as the COVID-19 pandemic has
been delaying inspections, assessments and authorization processes; (iii)
delays in implementation of alternatives for the disposal of tailings by
the Brucutu plant, which should not be completed until the end of 2Q20;
and (iv) additional impacts related to the pandemic, associated with the
risk of increasing absenteeism when running different sensitivity
scenarios. The chart below illustrates the change in Vale's iron ore fines
production guidance for the year:
Vale's
sales volume in 2020 may change according to market conditions and Vale's
strategy of margin over volume, prioritizing blended products in its
portfolio and the replenishment of inventories in 2020 as appropriate.
T1 Production Summary
000' metric tons
|
1Q20
|
4Q19
|
1Q19
|
% change
|
1Q20/4Q19
|
1Q20/1Q19
|
Iron ore¹
|
59,605
|
78,344
|
72,870
|
-23.9%
|
-18.2%
|
Pellets
|
6,926
|
9,415
|
12,174
|
-26.4%
|
-43.1%
|
1. Including
third party purchases, run-of-mine and feed for pelletizing plants.
T2 Sales summary
000' metric tons
|
1Q20
|
4Q19
|
1Q19
|
% change
|
1Q20/4Q19
|
1Q20/1Q19
|
Iron ore¹
|
51,656
|
77,907
|
55,416
|
-33.7%
|
-6.8%
|
Pellets
|
7,311
|
10,966
|
12,314
|
-33.3%
|
-40.6%
|
1. Including third party purchases, run-of-mine and feed for pelletizing
plants.
T3 Iron Ore Production
000' metric tons
|
1Q20
|
4Q19
|
1Q19
|
% change
|
1Q20/4Q19
|
1Q20/1Q19
|
Northern System
|
39,900
|
50,729
|
41,015
|
-21.3%
|
-2.7%
|
Northern and Eastern Ranges
|
21,480
|
31,438
|
23,029
|
-31.7%
|
-6.7%
|
S11D
|
18,420
|
19,291
|
17,986
|
-4.5%
|
2.4%
|
Southeastern System
|
11,789
|
17,019
|
19,578
|
-30.7%
|
-39.8%
|
Itabira (Cau¨o, Conceição
|
6,007
|
8,067
|
9,292
|
-25.5%
|
-35.4%
|
Minas Centrais (Brucutu
|
3,649
|
6,600
|
5,191
|
-44.7%
|
-29.7%
|
Mariana (Alegria,
|
2,133
|
2,352
|
5,095
|
-9.3%
|
-58.1%
|
Southern System
|
7,356
|
9,980
|
11,776
|
-26.3%
|
-37.5%
|
Paraopeba (Mutuca,
|
3,648
|
4,997
|
6,795
|
-27.0%
|
-46.3%
|
Vargem Grande (Vargem
|
3,708
|
4,983
|
4,980
|
-25.6%
|
-25.5%
|
Midwestern System
|
559
|
616
|
501
|
-9.3%
|
11.6%
|
Corumb¨¢
|
559
|
616
|
501
|
-9.3%
|
11.6%
|
IRON ORE PRODUCTION
|
59,605
|
78,344
|
72,870
|
-23.9%
|
-18.2%
|
IRON ORE SALES
|
51,656
|
77,907
|
55,416
|
-33.7%
|
-6.8%
|
IRON ORE AND PELLETS SALES
|
58,967
|
88,873
|
67,730
|
-33.7%
|
-12.9%
|
Resumption Plan
The
plan for resuming operations in Timbopeba, F¨¢brica and Vargem Grande
complexes is ongoing, as discussions with the National Mining Agency (ANM),
the Public Prosecutor's Office of the Minas Gerais State (MPMG) and the
external audit f irms are in progress, unfortunately at a
slower-than-anticipated pace given the COVID-19 pandemic.
The
resumption of production in Timbopeba, expected to occur in 1Q20, was
postponed to 2Q20. Vale received the necessary authorization from the
external auditors hired by the public prosecutors to restart the site
operations, starting with dry processing activities. Maintenance works are
ongoing for a safe return to operations. Wet processing activities are
likely to be resumed in 4Q20, after the construction of a pipeline is
complete; nonetheless, alternatives to anticipate wet processing are under
evaluation.
The
dry processing operation at F¨¢brica, initially expected for 2Q20, is now
likely to resume in 3Q20. Vibration trigger tests are necessary to certify
the absence of impacts on the site's structures, which depend on approval
by the ANM and the auditors hired by the public prosecutors. Wet
processing operations with tailings disposal at Forquilha V dam are now
expected in 4Q20, instead of previous estimate for 3Q20.
Vargem
Grande pellet plant operations are expected to resume in 3Q20, as trigger
tests related to the pellet plant had their start approved by the auditors
hired by the public prosecutors, now pending the approval by ANM. The
pellet feed will be sourced from the site's beneficiation plant, therefore
requiring tailings disposal at the Maravil has I dam and Cianita waste
dump until the start-up of the Maravil has III dam, expected for 4Q20. The
resumption of the beneficiation plant and its economic mining plan depends
on approval by the ANM.
The
Brucutu plant, which used to dispose of tailings in the Norte/Laranjeiras
dam will continue to operate at around 40% of its capacity through wet
processing and tailings filtration. Short- term alternatives for tailings
disposal, such as the optimized use of the Sul dam, are being tested by
geotechnical and operational teams and may increase Brucutu plant's
processing capacityto 80%. If such alternatives for tailings disposal or
the reclassification of the emergency level for Norte/Laranjeiras dam are
not accomplished, there will likely be an impact on the 2020 annual iron
ore fines production volume as illustrated in the chart previously
presented.
Northern System
The
Northern System, which is comprised of the Caraj¨¢s and S11D mines,
produced 39.9 Mt in 1Q20, 4.5 Mt lower than the forecast in the 1Q20
guidance and 1.1 Mt lower than in 1Q19, mainly due to:
(i)
unscheduled maintenance of the long-distance conveyor belt at S11D, due to
a global maintenance program after an accident with the conveyor belt in
its coal operations in Mozambique which led Vale to review all its
conveyor belts around the world;
(ii)
stronger than usual weather-related conditions, very concentrated in a few
days of March in the Northern System; this resulted in increased moisture
levels in Vale's ores, which required longer drying periods at port
stockyards and thus impaired storage capacity in the port, impacting rail
transportation from mine to port and forcing down mine production due to
lack of storage capacity at the mine;
(iii)
operational restrictions at Northern Range connected to the postponement
of the start-up of the new Morro 1 mining section, from 4Q20 to 2Q21,
following the delay in obtaining the environmental license (finally
granted in December 2019)
Those
negative effects were partially offset by a gradual increase of S11D
production that is expected to produce close to 90 Mt in 2020.
The
Northern Range is expected to face operating restrictions connected to the
Morro 1 mining section postponement (item iii above), with an impact of
around 3 Mt in 2Q20. Vale expects to produce 113 Mt from the Northern
Range in 2020.
Uncertainties
arising from the COVID-19 pandemic may affect production expectations.
Vale remains vigilant and monitoring closely any indication of
acceleration of contagion levels in the region. The most important thing
is to guarantee the safety of workers and communities surrounding its
operations. Vale has been conservatively adopting measures such as
operating with a minimum contingent of workers at production sites,
removal of risk groups from operations and removal of workers that
potentially had contact with suspected cases of infection. Such measures
allow a less vulnerable environment for the absenteeism risk.
Southeastern System
The
Southeastern System, which encompasses the Itabira, Minas Centraisand
Mariana mining hubs, produced 11.8 Mt in 1Q20, 5.2 Mt and 7.8 Mt lower
than in 4Q19 and 1Q19, respectively, mainly as a result of the suspension
of tailings disposal at the Norte/Laranjeiras and Itabiruçu dams,
impacting the Brucutu and Conceição sites, respectively, as
well as unscheduled maintenances at the Cau¨o site and the stoppage of
Fazendão mine at the end of February due to depletion of the
licensed mining area.
The
Conceição plants are using tailings filtration and disposal
at the Onça and Periquito pits as a short-term alternative for the
Itabiruçu stoppage. These alternativeswere ramped up in 1Q20,
impacting Conceição production, which is expected to present
improvements in 2Q20.
The
Fazendão mine licensed area became depleted at the end of February,
as expected in its mining plan. Vale is applying to expand the licensed
mining area, which is expected to be granted in 3Q20.
Southern System
The
Southern System, which encompasses the Paraopeba and Vargem Grande mining
hubs, produced 7.4 Mt in 1Q20, down 2.6 Mt and 4.4 Mt from 4Q19 and 1Q19,
respectively, mainly due to lower third-party purchases and production
restrictions at Mutuca, which was already considered in the production
plan.
Looking
forward, absenteeism in the Southeastern and Southern Systems connected to
the COVID-19 may be mitigated by using excess personnel from the idled
mines in Minas Gerais.
Midwestern System
The
Midwestern System produced 0.6 Mt in 1Q20, in line with 4Q19 and 1Q19.
T4 Pellet Production
000' metric tons
|
1Q20
|
4Q19
|
1Q19
|
% change
|
1Q20/4Q19
|
1Q20/1Q19
|
Northern System
|
883
|
1,152
|
1,221
|
-23.4%
|
-27.7%
|
São Luis
|
883
|
1,152
|
1,221
|
-23.4%
|
-27.7%
|
Southeastern System
|
5,132
|
5,859
|
7,760
|
-12.4%
|
-33.9%
|
Tubarão 1 and 2
|
-
|
34
|
1,166
|
-100.0%
|
-100.0%
|
Itabrasco (Tubarão 3)
|
888
|
989
|
575
|
10.2%
|
54.4%
|
Hispanobras (Tubarão 4)
|
629
|
1,018
|
955
|
-38.2%
|
-34.1%
|
Nibrasco (Tubarão 5 and 6)
|
1,225
|
1,333
|
2,186
|
-8.1%
|
-44.0%
|
Kobrasco (Tubarão 7)
|
810
|
897
|
1,086
|
-9.7%
|
-25.4%
|
Tubarão 8
|
1,580
|
1,588
|
1,792
|
-0.5%
|
-11.8%
|
Southern System
|
-
|
-
|
1,069
|
-
|
-100.0%
|
F¨¢brica
|
-
|
-
|
515
|
-
|
-100.0%
|
Vargem Grande
|
-
|
-
|
554
|
-
|
-100.0%
|
Oman
|
912
|
2,404
|
1,970
|
-62.1%
|
-53.7%
|
Others
|
-
|
-
|
154
|
-
|
-100.0%
|
PELLETS PRODUCTION
|
6,926
|
9,415
|
12,174
|
-26.4%
|
-43.1%
|
PELLETS SALES
|
7,311
|
10,966
|
12,314
|
-33.3%
|
-40.6%
|
Production overview
Vale's
pellets production was 6.9 Mt in 1Q20, 26.4% and 43.1% lower than in 4Q19
and 1Q19, mainly due to the voluntary stoppage of Tubarão 1 and 2
plants and pellet feed availability due to the rainy season in the
Northern System and Brucutu plant partial stoppage.
Vale's
revised pelletproduction guidance for 2020 is 35-40 Mt from 44 Mt, due to
(i) lower pellet feed availability from the Brucutu plant related to the
suspension of tailings disposal at the Norte/Laranjeiras dam; and (ii)
short-term uncertainties regarding pellet demand.
Northern system
Production
at the São Lu¨as pellet plant was 0.9 Mt in 1Q20, 0.3 Mt lower than
in 4Q19 and 1Q19, mainly as a result of (i) higher-than-expected pellet
feed moisture due to the strong rainy season; and (ii) the voluntary
decision to reduce production levels due to market conditions.
Southeastern system
Production
at the Tubarão pellet plants10 was 5.1 Mt in 1Q20, 0.7 Mt and 2.6
Mt lower than in 4Q19 and 1Q19, mainly due to the voluntary stoppage of
Tubarão 1 and 2 plants since October 2019, Tubarão 6
unscheduled maintenance carried out in January and February and lower
pellet feed availability from the Brucutu plant.
Southern system
The
F¨¢brica and Vargem Grande pellet plants operations were halted on
February 20th, 2019, following an ANM (Brazil's Mining National Agency)
decision.
Oman operations
The
Oman pellet plant production was 0.9 Mt in 1Q20, 1.5 Mt and 1.1 Mt lower
than in 4Q19 and 1Q19, respectively, mainly due to lower availability of
pellet feed.
Official
Document
|