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Apr.20.2024 1USD=7.1046RMB
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BRIEFING (September 25, 2020): Iron Ore and Semis

https://en.steelhome.com [SteelHome] 2020-09-25 10:46:10

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1. Iron Ore Market

Seaborn prices for iron ore continued dropping in China this week. With the bearish outlook, traders were active in sales. The overall transactions, however, were slack as the procurements fell short of expectations.

According to SteelHome survey, China iron ore stockpiles reached 120 million tonnes, due mainly to the dropped shipments and restricted truck transportation in North China.

Though some mills may have preholiday procurements, SteelHome considers that iron ore prices would be unlikely to greatly rebound in the short run amid bearish outlook on the overall market.

T1: China Iron Ore Price by Product

 

SteelHome Index (USD/t)

Seaborne Price (USD/t)

Qingdao Port (yuan/t)

Tangshan (yuan/t)

62%-Fe Imported Iron Ore

61.5%-Fe PB fines

65%-Fe IOCJ

61.5%-Fe PB fines

56.5%-Fe Super Special fines

66%-Fe Concentrate fines

Sept. 24

117.54

116

990

890

815

1040

Sept. 22

119.94

118.5

995

895

820

1040

Sept. 18

124.78

123.5

1020

920

830

1050

Sept. 24 vs Sept. 22

-2.4

-2.5

-5

-5

-5

-

Sept. 24 vs Sept. 18

-7.24

-7.5

-30

-30

-15

-10

Source: SteelHome Database

*Need More Data? Just Click SteelHome Database (Microsoft's Windows Version)

1.1 Highlight

(a) according to SteelHome survey, iron ore inventory at 46 main Chinese ports was 120.3 million tonnes as of September 24, 2020, up 2 million tonnes from September 17.

Of the stocks, about 55.9 million tonnes belong to traders. The stocks comprise 24.9 million tonnes of lump, 10.5 million tonnes of pellet and 11.2 million tonnes of concentrate fines. Daily shipment was 2.91 million tonnes, down 100,000 tonnes from the previous week.

Meanwhile, daily iron ore arrivals at five largest Northern ports (Qingdao, Rizhao, Tianjin, Caofeidian and Jingtang) reached 1.6 million tons this week, up 10,000 tons from last week.

(b) Xiamen ITG Group (ITG) and Roy Hill completed the first international yuan-denominated Letter of Credit iron ore transaction on 23 September, 2020. The L/C was issued by Bank of China Xiamen Branch, with a total settlement of about 150 million Yuan (nearly 22 million US dollars).

This was a new experience for ITG and Roy Hill that the former completed the first international yuan-denominated Letter of Credit transaction in China as a trading firm, and this was the first time that Roy Hill involved in international yuan-denominated Letter of Credit transaction.

1.2 Trading Tips

Traders are suggested to properly sell iron ore. Mills are suggested to keep the in-plant inventory at a normal consumption level.

2. Semis Market

Prices of semis dropped in China this week by and large. Steel rolling mill plants maintained the normal production, keeping the demand for semis products unchanged. The preholiday procurements fell short of expectations.

Affected by the stricter production curbs in Tangshan, the blast furnace operating rate dropped in China, and the supply of semis reduced a bit.

SteelHome considers that prices of semis may observe rangebound movements in the short run.

T2: Prices of Q235 in Main China’s Market

in yuan/t

Tangshan

Jiangyin Port

Zibo

Linfen

Handan

Shenyang

Sept. 24

3330

3430

3380

3360

3500

3330

Sept. 22

3320

3430

3370

3350

3470

3320

Sept. 18

3380

3470

3430

3410

3520

3380

Sept. 24 vs Sept. 22

+10

-

+10

+10

+30

+10

Sept. 24 vs Sept. 18

-50

-40

-50

-50

-20

-50

Source: SteelHome

2.1 Highlight

Semis stocked at 16 large warehouses in Tangshan were 632,400 tons in the week ended September 24, 2020, down around 95,500 tons from September 17, 2020.

2.2 Trading Tips

Steel rolling mill plants are suggested to purchase semis products mainly as their normal consumption levels amid escalating trade uncertainties.


(To contact the reporter on this story: cody.wang@steelhome.cn or 86-555-2238837 18725550282)
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